It’s commonly known that a higher percentage of those dying from COVID-19 are older, but according to the NC Department of Health and Human Services (NCDHHS) figures, that is an understatement.
According to the NCDHHS, the percent of people under the age of 17 who have died from COVID-19 in North Carolina is 0 percent. So of the 1,373 people in the state who have died from the coronavirus, none have been under the age of 17.
For people aged 18 to 24, which would include most college students, even those on the six-year plan, the percentage of those who have tested positive for COVID-19 and died is 0 percent.
So in North Carolina, according to the NCDHHS website, as of July 1, 2020 there has not been a single person 24 years old or younger who has died from COVID-19.
The age group from 25 to 49 years old accounts for 5 percent of the deaths in the state from coronavirus. So of the 1,373 deaths in the state from COVID-19, about 70 have been under the age of 49.
However, 68 percent of those who have tested positive fall into the under-49 category. So 68 percent of the positive COVID-19 cases only account for 5 percent of the deaths, which means 45,168 positive COVID-19 cases accounted for 70 deaths.
In the state, 15 percent of the deaths are in the 50-to-64-years-old age group. So according to the NCDHHS, 205 of the deaths from COVID-19 have been people in this age group.
And of those who have tested positive for COVID-19 in the state, 19 percent or 12,874 are in the 50-to-64-years-old age group.
According to the NCDHHS, 20 percent of the COVID-19 deaths in the state have been in the 65-to-74-years-old age range. That would mean that about 279 deaths out of the total of 1,373 deaths in the state. But people in the 65-to-74 age group only account for 6 percent of the people in the state who have tested positive for COVID-19, which according to NCDHHS is 4,244 positive cases.
And those over the age of 75 account for 59 percent of the deaths in the state, which means that of those who have died, 815 have been over 75 years old.
Of the 66,513 people in the state who have tested positive, only 6 percent or 4,073 fall in the over-75 age range.
So you have 6 percent of those who tested positive accounting for 59 percent of the deaths.
So, what this first indicates to me is that the kids will be safe going back to school. I know the governor uses science and numbers to make his decisions but I believe he uses whatever number supports his opinion. This information absolutely does not support keeping schools closed.
There are deaths of children and teenagers in other states including TN & FL. A community in OH was down to zero cases until 90 teenagers went to Myrtle Beach. They had 19 come home infected, and they were still testing. 37 Clemson football players tested positive this week. The community spread in NC has often taken place in nursing facilities and prisons as well as other communal living situations. The increase in gatherings related to Memorial Day, protests, and now the July 4th holiday means that more people are coming into contact with people outside of their family group. It will be interesting to watch how July goes. Hospitalizations are up, and although a greater percentage are surviving fuel to younger she, improved treatment, etc., there are still very sick folks. My spouse is a teacher and my 88 year old father lives with us. If he is told to go back into the classroom, I think we may have to make some tough decisions.
Except for the FACT that children don’t live by themselves…you know, they have parents, grandparents, caregivers, etc. Think about it, if you can.
Yeah, it’s not like kids can become transmission carries and give it to other people who aren’t kids. What kind of sorcery would that be?
The governor does not use science. He might MIS-use it from time to time. He mostly just does what he dec ides will hurt us deplorables who had the nerve to vote for the party he isn’t a part of.
So what you are telling me is that is okay to put teachers, administrators, counselors, and other school personnel at risk in a cramped room with 35+ kids ? No way.
Thank you for the numbers. Just as with police killing unarmed black people versus white people. 2019 had 9 black deaths, and 20 white deaths.
Anyone can make the numbers favor their narrative.
Excellent point American Believer. However, since there are more white people than black people in the United States, in order to make a comparison that is legitimate (and to your point using numbers for a narrative) you need to take that into account.
I believe using some basic algebra with your number will prove that black people are disproportionately killed.
Maybe that will help with your narrative?
True there old “Wait a Second”, but only partially true. To get the full picture, you would also need to consider what percentage of each population is involved in criminality, specifically violent crime as well as a few other factors, such as how often each population interacts with the police as suspects. So a full analysis might say Race X makes up XX% of the population, but is responsible for XX% of total crime and XX% of violent crime. Those populations could then be compared to the rate they interact with the police, Race X has XXX number of police interactions per year and out of that number, XX% are killed, and of that number, XX% are justified vs XX% unjustified.
This is still not a complete picture, but more fair than either of the above points of view. As a brief, but admittedly incomplete example, the majority of Greensboro’s most violent crimes are committed by black males even though they make up a minority of the population. I believe that most, if not all of last year’s and this year’s homicides are black victims killed by black male suspects. If you look at aggravated assault and armed robbery, the demographics are similar. The massive over representation of that demographic as criminal suspects means that this particular demographic group is far more likely to have interactions with the police as suspects than any other population group. Therefore they are the group most likely to have a poor result of that interaction.
Hey Don, thanks for the reply. You bring up a valid point. The difference in crime rates by race is an often studied topic with little agreement on extrinsic factors as causal mechanisms.
However, the point we are discussing, is not crime rate. Rather the amount of unarmed people, both white and black, killed by police.
Regardless of age, race or religion, all people are afforded the idea that they are innocent until proven guilty. Assuming, solely based on race, that someone is wrong or guilty or violent without due process of law is a slippery slope and may be evidence to support the why part of the claim that black people are killed at a disproportionate rate compared to white people.
Could not agree more. the early predictions were that millions were going to die, and the lockdowns were predicated on that. Obviously that is no longer the case. Let the kids and the teachers go back to class. Us old people will wear masks.
Everyone has a different opinion. That is the way it is, with everyone. Can’t we just listen to what people have to say, we might learn something. Perhaps I am wrong (gasp!).
Dems are using this pandemic, and every other crisis, for political advantage. Informed people know what they are doing. Younger people who get their news from talking heads are either uniformed or misinformed (thank you Denzel).
I think that schools and businesses should all be open. People should keep their distance, and wear a mask while indoors.
I am nearly 80, and I have a compromised immune system. And this is what I think.
Awfully silent after that
Curious that is true, isn’t it?
Maybe this is THE “Whine Generation”? Need some cheese to go with the whine?
K-12 Schools and Colleges were shut down mid-March, and as of the publication of this post had not re-opened. Of course their infection rates, and thus death rates, would be artificially lower because they are exposed much less than the people aged 25-65 who are shopping and working in the community. Statistics don’t exist in a vacuum. I think it’s fair to say young people do not die at rates as high as the elderly, but comparing raw numbers is like comparing apples to oranges. Any sociologist, epidemiologist or statistician would know that.