Everyday the North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services (NCDHHS) publishes data on the people who have been tested for COVID-19, have tested positive, are currently hospitalized and have died.
Once a week the NCDHHS publishes data on how many people have recovered. Without knowing how many people have recovered it is impossible to know how many people in the state currently have confirmed cases of COVID-19. The number the NCDHHS ballyhoos everyday is how many people have tested positive since the state started testing in March. It’s a big scary number but the fact that people tested positive in March doesn’t seem to have as much to do with life in September.
According to the NCDHHS, on Sept. 28, the number of people who have recovered since March is 184,422, but that might be corrected because the number who had recovered as of Sept. 21 was 176,422. It’s possible, but hard to believe, that exactly 8,000 people recovered in the past week.
The number of people who have tested positive since March according to the NCDHHS is 203,568 and the number of deaths in the state from COVID-19 is 3,418, which means the number of people in North Carolina with confirmed active cases of COVID-19 on Sept. 28 was 15,728.
On Sept. 21, using the same math, the number of active cases in the state was 14,712, which makes that 184,422 number doubly suspect because with the number of people testing positive going down, the number of people with confirmed active cases should also be going down. The number of recoveries in the past week according to the NCDHHS is the lowest since June.
The NCDHHS has had to revise its numbers in the past, and if it isn’t going to revise these numbers some explanation should be forthcoming.
On the national front there is additional information from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The CDC has revised the fatality ratio estimates for COVID-19 based on age ranges.
According to the CDC, for those in the 0-19 age range the “Infection Fatality Ratio” is 0.00003. Turning that around it means that in the 0-19 age range according to the CDC 99.997 percent of the people who contract COVID-19 will survive.
The “Infection Fatality Ratio” for people in the 20-49 age range is 0.0002 which means that of those between 20-49 who contract COVID-19 99.98 percent will survive.
In the 50 to 69 age range, which includes some people over 65 who are considered high risk, the “Infection Fatality Ratio” is 0.005 which means 99.5 percent of those who contract COVID-19 will survive.
Even in the age range of those over 70 years old, where everyone is considered at risk, the “Infection Fatality Ratio” is 0.054 which means that 94.6 percent of people with COVID-19 are expected to survive.
According to the CDC these numbers are the “Current Best Estimate.”
I bet all your ciphering doesn’t make a hill of beans to the 205,268 dead Americans or their families and friends (3,445 North Carolinian’s). It also doesn’t change the fact that the US which accounts for 4% of the world’s population accounts for 20% of the Covid deaths. This means we continue to win biggley under the turds leadership.
Whatever this means, and I hope so, I agree with everything.
Don’t forget Nancy P’s leadership too. She openly encouraged everyone to “come on down to Chinatown. It’s perfectly safe here.” This was back in March I believe. Oh, and don’t forget Cuomo’s leadership of sending known infected patients back into nursing homes, making them verified death camp hot zones with some of the highest morbidity rates in the nation. You can put your blinders back on and blame Trump for it all, but you know that plenty of Dems were criticizing the steps he tried to take in the beginning.
Context is important. Nancy Pelosi made that statement in response to a question about anti-Asian racism at a time when Trump and his followers, many ready to pounce, insisted on referring to COVID-19 as the “China virus”. She even politely avoided the bigotry implied in the question and pivoted to talk about the culture of immigration and small businesses and encouraged people not to live in fear. These statements were made on February 24, 2020. That’s 5 days before there was a single death in the country and the only clear action taken by the administration was to ban travel from China. It was the same day that Trump tweeted “The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA. We are in contact with everyone and all relevant countries. CDC & World Health have been working hard and very smart. Stock Market starting to look very good to me!” My how things changed… he’s terminating our relationship with the WHO and the CDC is constantly changing guidance on a whim about who to test, how to test, what to report at his command.
If you use quotation marks, it would be great if you’d actually use a direct quotation and not what you heard or how you interpreted her comments – which I personally doubt you actually listened to or read directly for yourself.
Finally, your last sentence is a doozy…. “You can [sic] blame Trump for it all, but you know that plenty of Dems were criticizing the steps he tried to take in the beginning.” You realize that’s the entire point, right? From the beginning, Dems believe Trump has done a terrible job. Dems are still blaming him for the terrible job that they believe he has done throughout this entire process.
@don, get a new excuse, this one is more than old and tiring. Buck stops at the Turds desk.
I bet most countries don’t have the high instances of co morbidity factors that the US has, which increases the mortality rate, like diabetes, obesity, copd, high amount of elderly living in group facilities.
I also bet most countries aren’t as mobile as far as large groups of people that commute across states, across country, etc. to work, go on vacation, etc.
Maybe that has something to do with death and transmission rates? Or is it still 100% Trump’s fault, and absolutely nobody else? Just a rhetorical question. Don’t expect an honest response.
That’s a great point. Most countries have appropriate public health services that help reduce the risk of comorbidities and were set into action to help manage and mitigate COVID-19 responses. Another thing our strategy lacked, enhancing the role of public health, especially in times of crisis.
It also doesn’t make any difference to my wife’s uncle who died in July at age 95 and was listed as a covid death even though he tested negative for it. So every time you spew your stupid hatred for Trump by your lies about him, you are blaming him for deaths that aren’t even connected to covid.
Hi Wayne, they don’t actually publish the names of people on a list of Covid-19 related deaths. So I’m curious, where did you see this list? Did your wife’s Aunt receive some sort of certificate noting that he would be counted as a Covid death?
Further, if patients actually tested negative for coronavirus and never tested positive, they would not count towards that death toll or the positive case count both continuing to climb.
Here’s a short read to help explain how that number (approximately 206,000 today) could be overestimated or (more likely) underestimated. And, it’s from a journal that is both American AND Scientific – you are allowed to be both.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-covid-19-deaths-are-counted1/
Despite being tested twice for Covid, both times negative, he was still listed as a Covid death. Money probably has a lot to do with it. The numbers lack credibility. My wife’s uncle is a case I have factual knowledge about and not just hearsay. How many more people have died of ordinary causes and it be listed as Covid? I don’t for a minute think he was the only one.
Similar story here. A family member of mine was in her 90s and was counted as a COVID-19 death after she passed away in a hospice wing of a nursing home that had a few COVID cases (not in the hospice area). The problem is, she never had COVID. She never had symptoms. She was never tested for it and had been near death due to Alzheimer’s disease for many months before she passed away. Come to find out, the nursing home got an extra $13,000 following her death because they managed to mark her as a COVID case. This was in a state that counts people to have “presumed COVID” so I tend to believe that other states doing that have escalated the death count in order to cash in.
The response to COVID is without doubt the greatest intrusion on individual rights in American history. Is it fitting that it occurs just as millions seem prepared to permanently vote themselves out of them? Thank you for “all your ciphering’s.”
Did our COVID-19 response intrude on your freedom of speech or practicing your religion or right to assemble? You haven’t shut up, you are free to practice whatever religious ideologies you want, and we all know that assemblies in protest of closing the state down were allowed to go on.
Did you suddenly lose the right to bear arms? Nope
Did the military force themselves into your home and stay there without your consent? Nope
Were you unreasonably searched or had your property seized because of Covid-19? Nope
Were you forced to be a witness against your own crimes? Doubt it
Did you have a trial delayed? Okay, yes, that probably happened to many folks as we sensibly try not to kill them by virus and therefore delay and slow legal proceedings as needed. But did it suddenly make the juries more partial than they were 1 year ago? Nope.
Did you commit a crime and suddenly have an excessive bail or fine that would have been much less last year?
You still have a right to “life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness”. In fact, the response is meant to maintain the longevity of those rights – you know, that you don’t die and can maintain a free and purposeful life in the future. Maybe you’re hung up on that liberty thing because you really just need to have a drink after 11 PM?
Some people cant see the big picture. People die. Its a fact. To imply this virus is the end of civilization is stupid. Any family who loses s loved one from any illness, accident, shooting, whatever suffers. Lizzie infers only families affected by the virus suffer. The numbers are factual. Having some true info is helpful in the face of all the scare tactics the turd leader of this state spouts.
Wow, just don’t get it. Everyone can do one thing VOLUNTARILY to protect themselves and neighbors and yet it has become the POLITICAL fight of the century. What happen to the time when we all looked after one another? What happened to making sure if a friend or neighbor needed help they got it? What happened to love thy neighbor? What happened to destroy the all for one and one for all that made this country the greatest in history that could overcome any obstacle put before it? What happened to this country that produced “the Greatest Generation”? What has happened in this country to make everyone SO angry, petty, and self-centered?
the far-left is what happened. By saying “doing one thing voluntarily” do you mean wear masks? If masks are so frickin great, then it stands to reason that our kids should be able to just slap them on their faces and go back to school, right?
@notintouch, we’ll never know now will we? Half the population believes someone who admittedly LIED on tape that this virus is nothing and won’t wear masks. Guess we’ll see how he fares now that HE has it and has probably spread it to hundreds.
You’d better watch out, Lizzy. A lot of people who you vote for believe America was never great.
Your opinion only, not the opinion of the MAJORITY of Americans that voted in 2016.
What happened to make you so shrill? Doctor Laura was a year’s worth of nagging in 3 hours, but at least the sky wasn’t falling every day. But you are right about one thing– you really don’t get it. You are a five alarm fire response to a fire in an isolated dumpster.
@wayne, there was absolutely nothing in my comment that was shrill. Just asking questions. You sir have the IQ of a paper bag.
@ALL, see, exactly what I’m talking about. Mean and nasty. Far left, far right, liberal, conservative, NEVER just Americans. Sad