Recently, both the Greensboro city manager and the Guilford County manager proposed fiscal 2025-2026 budgets that call for no increase in the property tax rate, and it looks like that will actually be the case in June when the Greensboro City Council and the Guilford County Board of Commissioners adopt their final budgets.

The new budgets will likely include no tax rate increase so your tax bill should look the same as last year’s when it arrives in mid-to-late July.

And the good news about next year, when the City Council and the Board of Commissioners adopt new budgets for fiscal 2026-2027, is that it’s almost unimaginable that either the city or the county will increase the tax rate then either.

That’s the good news.

The bad news is that, unlike this year, next year’s property tax bills are likely to be much, much larger.

 That’s because Guilford County is currently conducting a revaluation of all the property in the county and, on average, those values are going to be a lot higher than they were in 2022 – the last time there was a countywide revaluation.  And those higher property values are going to mean that, even if the tax rates stay where they are for the city and the county, tax bills for property owners across Guilford County are almost certain to be much heftier.

Early in 2025, preliminary numbers from the Guilford County Tax Department showed that, on average, the value of property in the county – houses, buildings and land – had gone up by 47 percent since the last revaluation. That was in January and the final assessed values will be fixed on the last day of 2025 and be revealed soon after that. During a county commissioners’ retreat several months ago, Guilford County Tax Director Ben Chavis told the Board of Commissioners that the number could change before the end of the year.

Chavis told the Rhino Times this week that the number – the 47 percent average price increase for property in Guilford County – seemed to still be about the same level that it was earlier in the year.

Chavis has also said that some categories of property have seen their values grow at a rate higher than other types of property.  For instance, the growth in value of housing in Guilford County has been more than in most categories.

Given all that, it’s a pretty good rule of thumb that, next year, you can expect to see the Guilford County Tax Department valuing your house 50 percent higher than its current assessed value.

And next year will be one of those years the City Council and the Board of Commissioners love – years that give those boards a chance to implement a giant “hidden” tax increase on property owners simply by leaving the tax rates the same.

In fact, for Guilford County, the 2025-2026 budget about to be adopted next month,  is really just a “bridge” budget – it’s something to help the county keep its head barely above water financially as it treads across the 12-month period from July 1, 2025, to June 30, 2026. Then the revaluation will mean the commissioners can access an astounding amount of new revenue without changing the tax rate.

An average homeowner in Guilford County, if the property tax rate remains the same, can expect their house to be valued at 50 percent higher. Therefore, under the current rate, their tax bill will be 50 percent higher. The city may or may not adjust the tax rate lower next year to help out the property owners in Greensboro; however, the scary thing is that Guilford County’s tax rate is paid by all property owners in the county and Chairman of the Guilford County Board of Commissioners Skip Alston has repeatedly told the Rhino that county residents should not expect to see a lowering of the tax rate in 2026.

Alston points out that the current numbers from the Tax Department are just an “average,” which means some people’s property values may have only gone up, say, 30 percent.

That’s true; however, it also means some taxpayers’ property may have gone up, say, 65 percent in assessed value.

The chairman also pointed out that the county has a great deal of needs right now.  For instance, he said, voters approved $2 billion in school bond money in recent years and that all has to be paid back, with interest. And, by the way, it looks like that payback interest rate will end up being a lot higher than county finance officials anticipated when the bonds were put on the ballot and interest rates were extremely low.

“There has also been inflation,” Alston said, adding that that meant the $2 billion for the schools won’t address all the projects voters hoped the money would cover.

Also, while the Board of Commissioners has repeatedly reached into the county’s savings account to pay for larger and larger budgets in recent years, Guilford County simply cannot continue to do so because the county’s savings account is currently, for the first time in this century and probably long before that, below the bare minimum safety level set as a rule of good governance by State of North Carolina finance officials.

Alston told the Rhino Times that, if voters approve the sales tax initiative that will be on the ballot in early 2026, perhaps the county would have the financial leeway to offer some relief by lowering the property tax rate.

While Alston has managed to keep the Democratic commissioners in line on almost all votes in recent years, there could be a breaking point next year if the chairman really wants to keep the tax rate the same.

It is simply inconceivable that, with Guilford County property taxes already as high as they are, next July the county would send out property bills that are on average 50 percent higher.

Alston almost always gets his way; however, Alston never has to worry about being reelected in his district.  Most of the other Democrats on the board don’t enjoy that luxury, and a 50 percent average property tax bill hike, which, again, might be a 65 percent increase for some, would seem likely to be political suicide for those who vote for it.

Republican Commissioner Pat Tillman told the Rhino Times recently that not lowering the tax rate if property valuations come in as expected is unthinkable. But there are only two Republicans on the board and so far the Democratic-led majority board has shown no mercy for the taxpayers.  After the 2022 revaluation, the Guilford County Board of Commissioners didn’t reduce the tax rate at all – even though the revaluation brought in more than $90 million extra. That meant property owners saw tax bills go up by 25 or 30 percent or even higher.

The commissioners have been collecting that additional money annually since the last revaluation.

 Alston said the county needs more revenue; however, if things continue heading in this direction, tensions might be high enough to break up what has been, in recent years, Alston’s solid-as-a-rock seven-member voting bloc on the nine-member board.