Property owners in the county – who are already paying out the nose for their tax bills after the 2022 revaluation – can breathe a sigh of relief about one thing: The Guilford County Board of Commissioners will not increase the property tax rate in the coming 2025-2026 fiscal county budget, which will be adopted in June and go into effect on July 1 of this year.

However, and this is a very big however, while there will be no tax increase in the coming budget, everyone should expect to see another major increase in their tax bills next year when the 2026-2027 budget is adopted.

 That’s because new property values for the 2026 revaluation will go on the books January 1 of 2026, and those values are expected to be much higher than current property values in almost all cases.

Next year, the Board of Commissioners will not raise the tax rate, but property owners will see their tax bills increase nonetheless because the current Democrat-led Board of Commissioners has shown no inclination to adjust the property tax rate lower to stabilize tax bills and tax revenues at previous levels.

The Board of Commissioners, in a recent budget session with Mike Halford, has been seeking ways to get through the 2025-2026 budget without raising taxes, because they have their eyes on the prize next year – the giant influx of new revenue that will come into their hands after the reval. That way, they will be able to bring in a lot more money and still say they didn’t raise the tax rate.

After the 2022 revaluation, the commissioners pointed proudly to the fact that they didn’t hike the tax rate; however, the thing they did not call attention to is that the reason they didn’t need to raise the tax rate is that the new valuations from the 2022 revaluations brought them an “extra” $92 million or so and – rather than let the taxpayers keep the money – they spent it on new initiatives like a greatly expanded Minority and Women’s Business Enterprise Department (MWBE) and things like starting to pay back the massive $2 billion in school bond debt that board has decided to take on in recent years.

Despite that extra $90-plus million coming in each year since the 2022 revaluation, the board has also, somewhat amazingly, continued to raid the county’s savings fund to levels where state finance officials start to get uneasy, as do county managers.

In the past, the rule has been that, at a minimum, local governments in the state should keep at least 8 percent of the budget set aside for a rainy day, which, according to Chairman of the Guilford County Board of Commissioners Skip Alston, is the level near where it sits today.

At a commissioners retreat at NC A&T University earlier this year, Guilford County Manager Mike Halford began gently warning the board that it would be extremely unwise to keep using savings account money to fund recurring years expenses, as the board has done in the past three years.  And Halford has continued to warn them of that in meeting after meeting.  It is somewhat astonishing that, at a time when Federal Rescue Plan money has been flooding in, and roughly $92 million in extra money from the 2022 revaluation is coming in each year, the Guilford County commissioners still felt a need to raid the savings account year after year.

It has put them in a bind, but when a flood of new taxpayer money starts coming in from the higher property prices after the 2026 revaluation, the commissioners should be able to replenish some of that money they’ve taken out of the county’s savings account, and they’ll also have plenty of extra millions to spend on new projects, add more county positions, continue giving generous across-the-board raises and promote other new projects the commissioners and county staff are enamored with.

But, again, the good news (for now) is that there will be no tax increase this year.

Chairman Alston told the Rhino Times this week that he would not vote for a tax increase in 2025 and he added that others on the board agree this is not the time.

“The other commissioners don’t support it either,” Alston said of a 2025 tax hike.

The chairman said the county manager might bring a budget recommendation with a tax increase but, if so, it will get shot down.

“Mike’s budget is Mike’s budget,” Alston said. “He can recommend what he wants.”

Alston, who has been chairman of the board since the Democrats took control of the board five years ago, always gets his way when it comes to county matters.

The bad news, of course, is that Alston also told the Rhino Times that he doesn’t want to see the tax rate lowered in 2026 after the new housing prices go on the books and into the tax bills.

However, despite Alston’s intentions, the board may be forced by public opinion to reduce the tax rate somewhat.

Earlier this year Tax Director Ben Chavis revealed what, on average, county property is worth now as opposed to four years ago. If those values hold up to the end of the year as expected, then the average property owner in the county will see a 47 percent increase in their 2026 tax bills.

That would be another astronomical tax bill hike coming just four years after property owners in the county saw a 25 to 30 percent hike in 2022.

Those who live in Greensboro and High Point could also see that portion of their property bills increase based on the new values as well, depending on what those two city councils decide.

Not lowering the Guilford County tax rate at all in 2026 seems like it might be political suicide for the commissioners who wish to continue sitting behind the dais at the Old Guilford County Court House.  A nearly 50 percent yearly tax increase on top of the already sky high tax bills might cause voters to show the current commissioners the door.